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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored

JL-034 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Bahrain will become one of the major centers of the US-Iran conflict.

Confirmedjudged 3 August 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 3 March 2026. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“Bahrain will probably be one of the major centers of this conflict”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 9:05 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

Bahrain was hit on the first day of the war. Iranian missiles and drones struck US Naval Forces Central Command and residential towers in Manama on 28 February 2026, at a base hosting about 8,300 sailors, and further attacks followed including a desalination plant on 8 March 2026 and IRGC fire on US sites in Bahrain on 7 and 8 July 2026. Note the claim published on 3 March 2026, three days after the first strikes.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. reviewed batch, 3 August 2026
    Pending changed to Confirmed

    Bahrain was hit on the first day of the war. Iranian missiles and drones struck US Naval Forces Central Command and residential towers in Manama on 28 February 2026, at a base hosting about 8,300 sailors, and further attacks followed including a desalination plant on 8 March 2026 and IRGC fire on US sites in Bahrain on 7 and 8 July 2026. Note the claim published on 3 March 2026, three days after the first strikes.

the small print

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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.