Skip to main content
TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
skin

JL-067 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, aged 85, will die within the next five years.

Confirmedjudged 9 September 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 24 May 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“we can expect that with within the next five years camani”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 9:10 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

Settled early. Ali Khamenei died on 28 February 2026, killed in joint US and Israeli strikes on Tehran, about 21 months after the 24 May 2024 claim and well inside its five-year window. The claim named the outcome but not the cause; he was killed rather than dying of age.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. Issued automatically by staged-research
    Pending changed to Confirmed

    Settled early. Ali Khamenei died on 28 February 2026, killed in joint US and Israeli strikes on Tehran, about 21 months after the 24 May 2024 claim and well inside its five-year window. The claim named the outcome but not the cause; he was killed rather than dying of age.

The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
the small print

This site is commentary and historical scorekeeping, not financial advice. Nothing here considers your circumstances. Speak to a licensed adviser before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer.

Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.