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JL-102 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

The United States will have the manufacturing capacity to sustain a war against Iran in roughly five years (around 2031), but does not have it now.

Pendingdue 5 March 2031

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 5 March 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 5 March 2031.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“maybe 5 years from now it will have manufacturing capacity to fight this war, but right now it doesn't”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 21:56 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

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Themes: Rearmament and War Economy.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.