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Timestamped
JL-018

Trump will win the November 2024 US presidential election.

In short

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 17 May 2024. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 30 November 2024.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

making the prediction that he will win in November
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 0:12 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Pending

Expected to be judgeable by

We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.

Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.