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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored

JL-043 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

US college protests over the Gaza war will expand in the fall of 2024.

Wrongjudged 3 August 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 5 June 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is wrong.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“these college protests in America they will only expand in the fall”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 13:37 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

Campus protest activity fell sharply in the fall of 2024 rather than expanding. Crowd Counting Consortium data recorded 3,220 pro-Palestinian protest actions in the first half of 2024 against 1,151 in the second half, with student arrests dropping from 3,572 to 88.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. reviewed batch, 3 August 2026
    Pending changed to Wrong

    Campus protest activity fell sharply in the fall of 2024 rather than expanding. Crowd Counting Consortium data recorded 3,220 pro-Palestinian protest actions in the first half of 2024 against 1,151 in the second half, with student arrests dropping from 3,572 to 88.

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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.