Skip to main content
TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
skin

JL-099 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

With the end of American hegemony, world trade will reorganize into mercantilist regional trading blocs rather than a single global system.

Pendingdue 24 March 2036

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 24 March 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 24 March 2036.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“With the end of Pax Americana, what you will see emerge is regional trading blocks”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 35:04 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Expected to be judgeable by

We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.

Themes: Empire in Decline: US Institutions.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
the small print

This site is commentary and historical scorekeeping, not financial advice. Nothing here considers your circumstances. Speak to a licensed adviser before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer.

Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.