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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored

JL-022 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

In a few weeks time, there will be a massive global emergency including food shortages, inflation, and a skyrocketing oil price.

Wrongjudged 5 October 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 11 July 2026. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is wrong.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“massive global emergency which will include uh food shortages which will include inflation which will include uh the price of oil skyrocketing”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 9:46 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Our assessment

The research reading is "did not happen", filed against this claim's own candidate. Independent sources: 3, after collapsing same-owner, same-wire and same-host duplicates. The deadline was 2026-08-31 and has passed as of 2026-09-01. Researcher's summary: Judged to the stated 30 April 2025 deadline none of the three legs landed: Brent averaged $68.13 a barrel in April 2025 against $79.27 in January, US annual CPI slowed to 2.3% in April 2025, the smallest 12-month rise since February 2021, and the FAO Food Price Index at 128.3 was up only 7.6% year on year with cereal stocks in what FAO called a comfortable buffer zone. Note the row's published_at of 11 July 2026 falls after its own resolve-by date, so the deadline should be checked before this goes on the record. PROPOSED, NOT DECIDED. Check the sources answer this claim AS WORDED and for the right period before accepting. That is the check no rule here can make, and it is what all seven withdrawn drafts of 3 August failed.

This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.

Verdict history 1

  1. Issued by the editor
    Pending changed to Wrong

    The research reading is "did not happen", filed against this claim's own candidate. Independent sources: 3, after collapsing same-owner, same-wire and same-host duplicates. The deadline was 2026-08-31 and has passed as of 2026-09-01. Researcher's summary: Judged to the stated 30 April 2025 deadline none of the three legs landed: Brent averaged $68.13 a barrel in April 2025 against $79.27 in January, US annual CPI slowed to 2.3% in April 2025, the smallest 12-month rise since February 2021, and the FAO Food Price Index at 128.3 was up only 7.6% year on year with cereal stocks in what FAO called a comfortable buffer zone. Note the row's published_at of 11 July 2026 falls after its own resolve-by date, so the deadline should be checked before this goes on the record. PROPOSED, NOT DECIDED. Check the sources answer this claim AS WORDED and for the right period before accepting. That is the check no rule here can make, and it is what all seven withdrawn drafts of 3 August failed.

Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
the small print

This site is commentary and historical scorekeeping, not financial advice. Nothing here considers your circumstances. Speak to a licensed adviser before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer.

Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.