Skip to main content
TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
skin

JL-101 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

Iran will respond to the American campaign with guerrilla warfare, sheltering in its mountains while launching harassment strikes with drones and rockets against GCC states and Israel.

Overduedue 5 September 2026

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 5 March 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 5 September 2026.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“what the Iranians are going to do is they're going to respond with a classic strategy called guerrilla warfare”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 42:18 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Expected to be judgeable by

We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.

Themes: Forever War: Energy.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
the small print

This site is commentary and historical scorekeeping, not financial advice. Nothing here considers your circumstances. Speak to a licensed adviser before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer.

Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.