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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
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JL-103 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

No nuclear weapons will be used by any party during the current US-Iran war.

Pendingdue 10 March 2028

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 10 March 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 10 March 2028.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“I am 100% confident that nukes will not be used at this time in this war.”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 5:16 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

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Themes: Forever War: Energy.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.