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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
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JL-091 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

The Iran-United States war will continue for years rather than months, possibly lasting 10 to 20 years.

Pendingdue 21 April 2027

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 21 April 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 21 April 2027.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“this war is not going to end soon. It won't be a few months. It'll probably be a few years.”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 9:23 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

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Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
Themes: Forever War: Energy, Empire in Decline: US Institutions.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.