JL-089 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said
The United States, under a re-elected Trump, will go to war with Iran, driven by the need to protect the petrodollar.
Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 13 June 2024. Our assessment, on the public evidence linked below, is confirmed.
What Prof Jiang Xueqin said
“the need to protect the petrol dollar will force America to go to war with Iran”
Our assessment
Settled well inside the window. The United States and Israel launched a sustained attack on Tehran and other Iranian cities on 28 February 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, about a year after the 20 February 2025 claim and four years before its deadline. Fighting continued into late July 2026 despite a 14 June interim deal.
Evidence
- Evidence source: abcnews.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: news.un.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: toda.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: cfr.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: cfr.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: euronews.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: washingtoninstitute.org (opens in a new tab)
This is our opinion, reached from the quote alongside it and the evidence linked here. How we score.
Verdict history 1
- Issued by the editorPending changed to Confirmed
Settled well inside the window. The United States and Israel launched a sustained attack on Tehran and other Iranian cities on 28 February 2026, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, about a year after the 20 February 2025 claim and four years before its deadline. Fighting continued into late July 2026 despite a 14 June interim deal.
- Evidence source: abcnews.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: news.un.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: toda.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: aljazeera.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: cfr.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: cfr.org (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: euronews.com (opens in a new tab)
- Evidence source: washingtoninstitute.org (opens in a new tab)
Restated in other lectures
- Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
- Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
- Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
- Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.