JL-003 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said
The United States will eventually invade Iran, possibly within two to six years of May 2024.
Pendingdue 8 May 2030
Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 8 May 2024. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 8 May 2030.
What Prof Jiang Xueqin said
“the United States will invade Iran we don't know when it might be two years”
Not yet assessed
Expected to be judgeable by
We publish no view until there is public evidence to settle it. How we score.
What settles this
Settled the day US ground forces enter Iran, or on 8 May 2030 if they never have.
Ground invasion Not observed
US ground forces enter Iran
No ground invasion as of this reading.
0 of 1 named condition observed
Condition readings are our assessment, drawn from the linked sources; the verdict itself is decided by a human when the claim settles.