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TimestampedLedger live97 on the record46 scored
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JL-090 · Prof Jiang Xueqin · said

The US will launch a ground invasion of Iran, possibly as early as October 2025, or after the November 2026 midterm elections.

Pendingdue 1 January 2027

Prof Jiang Xueqin said this on 11 July 2026. We have not assessed it yet; it should be judgeable by 1 January 2027.

What Prof Jiang Xueqin said

“I would say they've already decided on renovation. It will happen as early as October possibly after the midterms.”
Watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, 7:28 (opens on YouTube in a new tab)

Not yet assessed

Expected to be judgeable by

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Restated in other lectures

  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
  • Restated; folded in from the review queue as part of this thesis.
Themes: Forever War: Energy.The full ledger · How a claim is scored · Reply or correct this
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Every prediction here is taken from a public video appearance and linked back to the channel it came from. This is an independent, unaffiliated project, and nobody tracked here has been asked to take part.

Channels we watch. @PredictiveHistory, watching Prof Jiang Xueqin; @MarioNawfal, watching Prof Robert Pape.