ledger :: 2 claims of 97
0
confirmed
0
half right
0
wrong
1
still open
0
no end date
--%
0 of 20 resolved
Every approved prediction, timestamped to the second it was said and scored against public evidence. A partial counts half, and no rate is published below 20 resolved calls, filtered or not. Filters are shareable: they live in the URL.
filters
StatusStatus: All (97)Status: Still open (50)Status: No end date (0)Status: Confirmed (28)Status: Partial (7)Status: Wrong (11)Status: Unverifiable (0)Status: Superseded (0)
playlist :: oldest first
- 1 neverIf Argentina wins the World Cup and Messi is the hero of the game, then Messi will become the next president of Argentina.2031-07-18oursSpain beat Argentina 1-0 in the final on 19 July 2026, the day after he said it, so the “if” failed and can never now be met. This is not a judgement on whether Messi will enter Argentine politics.
- 2 runningArgentina will reclaim the Falkland Islands with the support of the United States within the next year.2027-07-20ours
1 of these are waiting on evidence and will be scored when it is in. :: how a claim is scored