The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

2 of 84 predictions

JL-029 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
The United States will establish its own choke point over the Strait of Hormuz, including the option of blockading it.
Trump declared the US “guardian of the Hormuz Strait” on 13 July 2026, reinstated the naval blockade and demanded 20 percent of all cargo shipped; transits fell to 39 in a week.
Said 7 Apr 2026 12:09watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-046 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz in order to strangle the global economy.
Iran shut the strait after the 2 March 2026 strikes and the IRGC declared it closed until further notice on 12 July. Note the closure was already under way when this clip published.
Said 3 Mar 2026 14:25watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 Sept 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026