The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

2 of 84 predictions

JL-048 Prof Jiang Xueqin Argentina Ascendancy
Argentina will reclaim the Falkland Islands with the support of the United States within the next year.
Said 20 July 2026 20:40watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 20 July 2027
Pending20 July 2027
JL-023 Prof Jiang Xueqin Argentina Ascendancy
If Argentina wins the World Cup and Messi is the hero of the game, then Messi will become the next president of Argentina.
Spain beat Argentina 1-0 in the final on 19 July 2026, the day after he said it, so the “if” failed and can never now be met. This is not a judgement on whether Messi will enter Argentine politics.
Said 18 July 2026 28:17watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 July 2031
Condition never happened