The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

2 of 14 predictions

JL-008 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Despite their military dominance, the US and Israel may be unable to win a war against Iran because Iran would rely on asymmetric warfare.
The condition, a US-Israel war against Iran, occurred: the June 2025 12-day war, then full-scale joint war from 28 February 2026 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei.
Said 24 Apr 2024 10:37watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Partial29 July 2026
JL-010 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the US fought a war against Iran now, it would have to fight alone, with NATO and Middle Eastern states such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Jordan refusing to take part.
The condition occurred: the US struck Iran in June 2025 and has fought a joint war alongside Israel since February 2026.
Said 24 Apr 2024 31:00watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Partial29 July 2026