The ledger, filtered

1 claim of 84

1/20Scored, rate held back

1Confirmed

0Partial

0Wrong

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1 of 20 resolved. A success rate for this slice of the ledger appears at 20 scored verdicts, a floor announced before scoring began. Until then, counts only.

StatusAll (84)Pending (40)Confirmed (26)Partial (7)Wrong (10)Unverifiable (0)Superseded (0)

ThemeAll AI Bubble and Nationalisation Argentina Ascendancy Empire in Decline: US Institutions Forever War: Energy Hard Money and Debasement Rearmament and War Economy

YearAll 2026 2025 2024

JL-053said 29 May 2024
A war between the United States and Iran will very likely break out within two to four years of May 2024.
Our assessment The United States struck three Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and launched a full air campaign on 28 February 2026, well inside the two-to-four-year window.
Prof Jiang Xueqin 13:18 watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 29 May 20284 sourcesForever War: EnergyEmpire in Decline: US Institutions
Confirmed3 Aug 2026

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