The ledger
Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.
7 of 84 predictions
- JL-029 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Trump declared the US “guardian of the Hormuz Strait” on 13 July 2026, reinstated the naval blockade and demanded 20 percent of all cargo shipped; transits fell to 39 in a week.
Said 7 Apr 2026 12:09watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-045 Prof Jiang Xueqin
Trump was in Beijing from 13 to 15 May 2026 and met Xi on 14 May. The trip had been rescheduled publicly before the video, and the payoff mechanism involving Russia is not established.
Said 7 Apr 2026 14:34watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 1 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-028 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Saudi Arabia will become a flashpoint in the Iran war.
Iranian drones hit the Ras Tanura refinery on 2 March 2026, four missiles aimed at Riyadh were intercepted in mid-March, and Riyadh struck inside Iran in late March, all before the deadline.
Said 19 Mar 2026 5:26watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-040 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The global economy will suffer greatly over the few months following the lecture.
The World Bank cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5 percent on 11 June, the weakest since the pandemic, after Brent rose from 61 to 118 dollars a barrel in the first quarter.
Said 3 Mar 2026 12:31watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 July 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-035 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The US-Iran war that began in late February 2026 will last at least many weeks, and possibly years.
The war ran more than 13 weeks and was still generating strikes on 6 June, clearing the many-weeks threshold before the deadline. The many-years branch remains unsettled.
Said 3 Mar 2026 0:17watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-034 Prof Jiang Xueqin
Bahrain will become one of the major centers of the US-Iran conflict.
Iranian missiles and drones struck US Naval Forces Central Command in Manama on 28 February 2026, the first day of the war, at a base hosting about 8,300 sailors.
Said 3 Mar 2026 9:05watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 Sept 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-046 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz in order to strangle the global economy.
Iran shut the strait after the 2 March 2026 strikes and the IRGC declared it closed until further notice on 12 July. Note the closure was already under way when this clip published.
Said 3 Mar 2026 14:25watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 Sept 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026