The ledger, filtered
2 claims of 84
2/20Scored, rate held back
0Confirmed
0Partial
2Wrong
0Still open
Every approved prediction, timestamped to the second it was said and scored against public evidence. A partial counts half. Filters are shareable: they live in the URL.
2 of 20 resolved. A success rate for this slice of the ledger appears at 20 scored verdicts, a floor announced before scoring began. Until then, counts only.
StatusStatus: All (84)Status: Pending (40)Status: Confirmed (26)Status: Partial (7)Status: Wrong (10)Status: Unverifiable (0)Status: Superseded (0)
- JL-026said 7 June 2024The November 2024 US presidential election will have one of the lowest voter turnouts in American history.
Our assessment Turnout was among the highest in more than a century rather than the lowest: the Census Bureau put it at 65.3 percent of the citizen voting-age population.
Wrong3 Aug 2026 - JL-043said 5 June 2024US college protests over the Gaza war will expand in the fall of 2024.
Our assessment Campus protest activity fell rather than expanded: 3,220 pro-Palestinian actions in the first half of 2024 against 1,151 in the second, with student arrests dropping from 3,572 to 88.
Wrong3 Aug 2026
Still reading. 0 of these are unresolved and will be scored when their evidence is in.How a claim is scored