The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

2 of 84 predictions

JL-016 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The Ukraine war will shift to a decisive battle at Odessa, with Russia encircling the city and NATO making its final stand there.
No battle for Odessa took place by 17 July 2026. The city was struck from the air rather than encircled, and no NATO force made a stand there.
Said 18 July 2025 40:04watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 July 2026Judged 3 Aug 202615 sources
Wrong3 Aug 2026
JL-025 Prof Jiang Xueqin
China and Russia will have a falling out, visible very quickly.
There was no falling out by 17 July 2026. Putin and Xi signed a multipolar declaration and about 20 agreements in Beijing on 20 May 2026; the visible strain is commercial, over gas prices.
Said 18 July 2025 40:36watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 July 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Wrong3 Aug 2026