The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

StatusAll (84)Pending (50)Confirmed (18)Partial (7)Wrong (8)Unverifiable (0)Superseded (0)

ThemeAll AI Bubble and Nationalisation Argentina Ascendancy Empire in Decline: US Institutions Forever War: Energy Hard Money and Debasement Rearmament and War Economy

YearAll 2026 2025 2024

12 of 84 predictions

JL-039 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will launch a military attack on Venezuela, and possibly on other South American countries.
The US struck Venezuela on 3 January 2026 and captured Nicolas Maduro, then struck inside Ecuador on 3 and 6 March, so the second South American country materialised too.
Said 18 Dec 2025 30:07watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-086 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will go to war with Iran, causing devastating damage to both countries.
Said 18 Dec 2025 30:57watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 18 Dec 2027
Pending18 Dec 2027
JL-064 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Israel will resume air strikes against Iran in the very near future.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 July 2025 0:15watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 Sept 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-016 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The Ukraine war will shift to a decisive battle at Odessa, with Russia encircling the city and NATO making its final stand there.
No battle for Odessa took place by 17 July 2026. The city was struck from the air rather than encircled, and no NATO force made a stand there.
Said 18 July 2025 40:04watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 July 2026Judged 3 Aug 202615 sources
Wrong3 Aug 2026
JL-063 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Netanyahu will keep pushing for war and Israel will continue to initiate offensive military action in the conflict with Iran.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 25 June 2025 3:27watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-062 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Despite the announced ceasefire, the United States, Israel, and Iran will continue toward war with one another rather than settle into peace.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 25 June 2025 0:20watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 25 June 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-057 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The American and Israeli bombing campaign against Iran will continue for the next few months.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 June 2025 11:12watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 Sept 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-059 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The US-Iran war will cause high oil prices and inflation that American consumers must absorb.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 June 2025 10:41watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-038 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
The US regime-change strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will fail to topple the Iranian government.
The government was not toppled. The Assembly of Experts named Mojtaba Khamenei supreme leader on 9 March 2026, nine days after his father was killed.
Said 18 June 2025 5:24watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20264 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-060 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
US air strikes will not inflict any real lasting damage on Iran's infrastructure.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 June 2025 5:45watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-055 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
America and Israel will not be able to occupy Iran, even if they decapitate its central leadership.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 June 2025 12:26watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 June 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-058 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will begin bombing Iran within the next few days.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 18 June 2025 0:29watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 25 June 2025 passed
In reviewDeadline passed