The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

StatusAll (14)Pending (5)Confirmed (3)Partial (6)Wrong (0)Unverifiable (0)Superseded (0)

ThemeAll AI Bubble and Nationalisation Argentina Ascendancy Empire in Decline: US Institutions Forever War: Energy Hard Money and Debasement Rearmament and War Economy

5 of 14 predictions

JL-003 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will eventually invade Iran, possibly within two to six years of May 2024.
Said 8 May 2024 0:14watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 8 May 2030
Pending8 May 2030
JL-001 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Christian Zionism and dispensationalist premillennialism will become more popular religious beliefs in America over time.
Said 8 May 2024 35:34watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tab
Pending
JL-014 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Over the next ten years the US will face serious trouble from the combination of overextension, debt, and civil unrest occurring at the same time.
Said 24 Apr 2024 41:25watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 24 Apr 2034
Pending24 Apr 2034
JL-008 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Despite their military dominance, the US and Israel may be unable to win a war against Iran because Iran would rely on asymmetric warfare.
The condition, a US-Israel war against Iran, occurred: the June 2025 12-day war, then full-scale joint war from 28 February 2026 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei.
Said 24 Apr 2024 10:37watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Partial29 July 2026
JL-010 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the US fought a war against Iran now, it would have to fight alone, with NATO and Middle Eastern states such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Jordan refusing to take part.
The condition occurred: the US struck Iran in June 2025 and has fought a joint war alongside Israel since February 2026.
Said 24 Apr 2024 31:00watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Partial29 July 2026