The ledger
Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.
5 of 84 predictions
- JL-039 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The US struck Venezuela on 3 January 2026 and captured Nicolas Maduro, then struck inside Ecuador on 3 and 6 March, so the second South American country materialised too.
Said 18 Dec 2025 30:07watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-047 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
V-Dem's 2026 report finds democracy in Western Europe and North America at its lowest in over 50 years, 18 years before the deadline, though the decline was already documented when he said it.
Said 22 Aug 2025 50:54watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 1 Jan 2045Judged 3 Aug 20262 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-038 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
The government was not toppled. The Assembly of Experts named Mojtaba Khamenei supreme leader on 9 March 2026, nine days after his father was killed.
Said 18 June 2025 5:24watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20264 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-021 Prof Jiang Xueqin
China will not get involved in the US-Israel-Iran war.
China sent no forces and confined itself to condemnation and calls for de-escalation. The qualifier is commercial: six Chinese firms were sanctioned in April 2025 over propellant ingredients.
Said 18 June 2025 23:02watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2025Judged 3 Aug 20265 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026 - JL-041 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Trump announced a 20 percent tariff on EU goods on 2 April 2025, well inside the deadline, settling at 15 percent under the framework of 27 July 2025.
Said 18 Feb 2025 7:52watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 18 Aug 2025Judged 3 Aug 20263 sourcesConfirmed3 Aug 2026