The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

StatusAll (84)Pending (50)Confirmed (18)Partial (7)Wrong (8)Unverifiable (0)Superseded (0)

ThemeAll AI Bubble and Nationalisation Argentina Ascendancy Empire in Decline: US Institutions Forever War: Energy Hard Money and Debasement Rearmament and War Economy

YearAll 2026 2025 2024

23 of 84 predictions

JL-022 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
In a few weeks time, there will be a massive global emergency including food shortages, inflation, and a skyrocketing oil price.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 11 July 2026 9:46watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Aug 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-054 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Within the next few months the United States will shift its Iran campaign to a strategy of economic strangulation, stoking ethnic tension, and destroying civilian infrastructure such as water, power, and transport networks.
Said 28 Apr 2026 31:27watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 28 Oct 2026
Pending28 Oct 2026
JL-065 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the ceasefire fails and the war resumes, the United States will begin targeting Iranian civilian infrastructure such as bridges, universities, reservoirs, and power plants.
Said 21 Apr 2026 32:15watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 21 Apr 2027
Pending21 Apr 2027
JL-088 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the US-Iran war drags on, the world economy will suffer severely.
Said 9 Apr 2026 7:04watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 31 Dec 2026
Pending31 Dec 2026
JL-029 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
The United States will establish its own choke point over the Strait of Hormuz, including the option of blockading it.
Trump declared the US “guardian of the Hormuz Strait” on 13 July 2026, reinstated the naval blockade and demanded 20 percent of all cargo shipped; transits fell to 39 in a week.
Said 7 Apr 2026 12:09watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-076 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the United States continues fighting an air war over Iran, it will lose increasing numbers of aircraft due to pilot fatigue, maintenance strain, and Iranian adaptation.
Said 7 Apr 2026 16:28watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 31 Dec 2026
Pending31 Dec 2026
JL-073 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Fuel prices will rise so sharply and so quickly that the civilian aviation industry effectively collapses, with air travel costing as much as ten times current prices.
Said 7 Apr 2026 6:00watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 7 Oct 2026
Pending7 Oct 2026
JL-061 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the United States destroys Iranian power plants, Iran will commit to total war aimed at destroying the American military presence in the Middle East.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 7 Apr 2026 5:04watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 7 July 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-074 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If Iran strikes GCC energy infrastructure in retaliation, the world will lose 20 percent of its energy supply.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 7 Apr 2026 0:58watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 7 July 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-075 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the United States attacks Iranian civilian infrastructure such as power plants, Iran will retaliate by striking GCC oil fields, desalination plants, and universities.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 7 Apr 2026 0:42watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 7 June 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-036 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If the war continues and ground forces are used, the world will run out of oil by mid-April 2026, on a JP Morgan estimate.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 2 Apr 2026 11:47watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 15 Apr 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed
JL-020 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will send ground troops into Iran, possibly as soon as the weekend following this lecture (28-29 March 2026).
No US ground troops entered Iran on the weekend of 28 and 29 March 2026. Hegseth said the US had taken Iran's airspace and waterways “without boots on the ground”.
Said 26 Mar 2026 16:04watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 Mar 2026Judged 3 Aug 20267 sources
Wrong3 Aug 2026
JL-032 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
Over the next ten to twenty years there will be large-scale deindustrialization and deurbanization, with urban populations, especially the young, moving back to the countryside.
Said 24 Mar 2026 38:36watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 24 Mar 2046
Pending24 Mar 2046
JL-028 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Saudi Arabia will become a flashpoint in the Iran war.
Iranian drones hit the Ras Tanura refinery on 2 March 2026, four missiles aimed at Riyadh were intercepted in mid-March, and Riyadh struck inside Iran in late March, all before the deadline.
Said 19 Mar 2026 5:26watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-071 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The United States will not withdraw from the Middle East, because its economy depends on remaining engaged there.
Said 12 Mar 2026 65:05watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 12 Mar 2028
Pending12 Mar 2028
JL-072 Prof Jiang Xueqin Empire in Decline: US Institutions
If the US deploys ground troops it will lose the war, after which CENTCOM's Middle East military role will transfer to Israel.
Said 12 Mar 2026 55:18watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 12 Mar 2030
Pending12 Mar 2030
JL-070 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Israel will expand its territory as a result of this war.
Said 12 Mar 2026 57:56watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 12 Mar 2030
Pending12 Mar 2030
JL-037 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Within the next few weeks the United States will visibly pursue a three-pillar strategy in Iran: decapitation of leadership, aerial bombardment, and arming and bribing ethnic insurgent groups.
Three pillars were claimed and two and a half are evidenced. Decapitation and the air campaign are documented, the arming half of the third is reported, and the bribing half has no payment record.
Said 5 Mar 2026 37:20watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 30 Apr 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sources
Partial3 Aug 2026
JL-079 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
US and Israeli forces will attack Iran's water supply, dams, reservoirs, and power plants.
Said 3 Mar 2026 17:55watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudgeable by 3 Mar 2027
Pending3 Mar 2027
JL-040 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The global economy will suffer greatly over the few months following the lecture.
The World Bank cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5 percent on 11 June, the weakest since the pandemic, after Brent rose from 61 to 118 dollars a barrel in the first quarter.
Said 3 Mar 2026 12:31watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 July 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-035 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The US-Iran war that began in late February 2026 will last at least many weeks, and possibly years.
The war ran more than 13 weeks and was still generating strikes on 6 June, clearing the many-weeks threshold before the deadline. The many-years branch remains unsettled.
Said 3 Mar 2026 0:17watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 June 2026Judged 3 Aug 20263 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-046 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz in order to strangle the global economy.
Iran shut the strait after the 2 March 2026 strikes and the IRGC declared it closed until further notice on 12 July. Note the closure was already under way when this clip published.
Said 3 Mar 2026 14:25watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 Sept 2026Judged 3 Aug 20265 sources
Confirmed3 Aug 2026
JL-078 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
The US and Israel will continue their air campaign against Tehran despite its strategic ineffectiveness.
The deadline has passed and the evidence is under review.
Said 3 Mar 2026 25:17watch Prof Jiang Xueqin say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 3 June 2026 passed
In reviewDeadline passed