The ledger

Every approved prediction, timestamped and scored. Filters are shareable via the URL.

3 of 14 predictions

JL-002 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If Israel goes to war with Iran, the United States will fight that war on Israel's behalf.
The condition occurred. Israel opened a war with Iran on 13 June 2025 with large-scale airstrikes on nuclear and military targets, and Iran struck back at Israeli cities in a 12-day interstate war.
Said 8 May 2024 32:13watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Confirmed29 July 2026
JL-009 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If a war with Iran breaks out, the US will be forced to divert resources away from supporting Ukraine.
Condition met. War with Iran broke out in June 2025 and again at larger scale in 2026. Consequent met.
Said 24 Apr 2024 21:09watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabJudged 29 July 20264 sources
Confirmed29 July 2026
JL-011 Prof Jiang Xueqin Forever War: Energy
If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, he will most likely be the one to initiate a war against Iran, possibly around two years from April 2024.
Condition met: Trump won the 2024 election. Consequent: Israel opened the 12-day war on 13 June 2025, with Trump ordering US strikes on Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan on 21 June.
Said 24 Apr 2024 43:23watch him say it, opens on YouTube in a new tabDeadline 31 Dec 2026Judged 29 July 20264 sources
Confirmed29 July 2026